The political landscape for Kamala Harris is growing increasingly bleak as new polling data points to significant losses in her lead over Donald Trump. Back in August, there was optimism surrounding her candidacy, with some predicting that the vice president could solidify a comfortable margin ahead of the former president. But as the weeks have progressed, that early enthusiasm has fizzled out, and the latest numbers suggest Harris’s campaign is facing a major setback.
She is now apparently lecturing about astrology.
She may need to get another cognitive test. pic.twitter.com/ySnemanf6y
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 14, 2024
A key indicator of this shift comes from the ABC News/Ipsos poll. Historically, this poll has been favorable to Harris, consistently showing her with a six-point lead. But that advantage has now shrunk to a mere two points. This is no ordinary polling fluctuation. ABC News/Ipsos, which had been Harris’s strongest metric, now shows a four-point swing toward Trump – a shift that suggests far deeper problems for her campaign. If a poll that has long leaned in her favor now shows a virtual dead heat, the warning lights are flashing bright red.
Another major blow comes from NBC News polling. Much like the ABC/Ipsos data, NBC had previously been a solid indicator of Harris’s strength. Now, however, it shows a tied race – representing a five-point shift toward Trump in just a month. This data isn’t just a problem in terms of the topline numbers. The details of the poll are even worse for Harris, with her favorability collapsing and Trump gaining momentum in voter perceptions.
#NEW NATIONAL poll
🔵 Harris: 50% (+2)
🔴 Trump: 48%Last poll: Harris+6
ABC & Ipsos | Oct. 4-8 | N=1,714LV
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 13, 2024
Harris’s recent decline could hardly come at a worse time. With only three weeks left until Election Day, the window for a dramatic reversal in her fortunes is narrowing rapidly. What’s even more alarming for her campaign is the lack of a clear path to changing the narrative. Even with Trump facing multiple criminal charges, voters appear unmoved. The question now is whether any event can shake up the dynamics before voting ends.
Panic at NBC this morning as Trump erases Kamala's lead in their newest poll:
“Vice President Kamala Harris had a 5-point lead in our last poll take a month ago, right after the debate. That lead has all but EVAPORATED." pic.twitter.com/FBcPe4o9BG
— johnny maga (@_johnnymaga) October 13, 2024
As things stand, Harris is becoming “baked into the political cake,” a candidate with limited room to alter entrenched voter perceptions. If nothing significant changes in the coming weeks, Trump may well be poised for a comeback victory. The momentum, once thought to be in Harris’s favor, now seems firmly behind her opponent, casting doubt over her chances as Election Day approaches.
